Many remain under arrest after Bobi Wine protests

We have found out that many of the people that were arrested following the Kyagulanyi arrest on 20 November are still in custody. They were not allowed to contact family members at police and were rushed to court and remanded without legal representation.

No. List of People Remanded by Magistrate Courts

1 Anwari, Yusuf

2 Anyela, Musa

3 Ariho, Emmanuel 

4 Asiimwe, Joshua 

5 Ategeka, Joseph 

6 Bailunda, Arafat

7 Bwambale, Godfrey

8 Byamukama, Tempson

9 Gumoshebe, Bebish

10 Kaggwa, Richard

11 Kakembo, Abbas

12 Kasadha, Moses 

13 Kasozi, Shafik 

14 Katabarwa, Aloysious

15 Kayemba, Musa

16 Kayiza, Anderson

17 Kibetion, Sadak 

18 Kizito, Hassan 

19 Kyeyune, Martin

20 Lubega, Ashiraf 

21 Lukyamuzi, Richard

22 Lukyamuzi, Sharif 

23 Marisimu, Brian

24 Masereka, Robert

25 Mayanja, Ronald 

26 Mpimbrya, Frank 

27 Mugume, Steven

28 Muhangi, Christopher 

29 Muhindo, Jimmy

30 Mukomba, Godfrey

31 Mulindwa, Yuda

32 Mutebi, Brian

33 Mwebaze, Onesmus

34 Mwesigye, Steven 

35 Namanya, Alex

36 Ndyamuhaki, Dan 

37 Nkalubo, Moses

38 Nkonwa, Murshid

39 Onyango, Emmanuel 

40 Othieno, Kennedy 

41 Semo, Eddy 

42 Sentamu, Muzamir 

43 Ssembatya, Sulaiman 

44 Ssempijja, Robert

45 Ssemusu, Gerald

46 Twesigye, Moses

47 Wasso, Arnold

The role of Independent and Accountable Electoral Institutions in minimizing electoral violence.


On a round table, we had different opinions among young African policy advisors who would wish to see Africa free from political violence and the peaceful transition of power. This is a real problem across the continent and as a Ugandan, I have always been inspired to understand why it is impossible to change governments by ballot. In searching for an effective solution, I have always wanted to understand why Uganda, despite its smaller size, has a history of political and electoral violence as compared to other East African Countries (EAC) like Tanzania. Of course, I am not praising Tanzania as having the best political fairness and the rule of law in the region, but it might be way far better on issues of peace and the absence of war in the region. 

Uganda is one of the smallest landlocked countries in East Africa boarded with Kenya, South Sudan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Rwanda, and Tanzania. Uganda was not fully colonised by Britain but nevertheless it was controlled politically and economically until October 1962 when she became internally self-governed. Since its inception as a republic, it has passed through a series of political tribulations including civil wars. Uganda has always tried to work on democratization with all the regimes but it was not only until 1995 that the Constitution established a multi-party political system and the Electoral Commission that would later be responsible for managing and organizing electoral processes. 

The birth of the Electoral Commission has been the foundation for electoral violence in the country and in fact, violence has been part of all the presidential and parliamentary elections since 1995. Violence is not only attributed to civilians but also security forces have used force against civilians on different occasions across the countries which sometimes have resulted to a number of deaths. The 2001 election witnessed such a level of violence that a parliamentary committee was set up to investigate the violence. International media houses and human rights organizations made several reports on the excessive use of force by security personnel which resulted to massive violations of human rights such as disappearances, torture, arbitral arrests etc.

It is very hard, and I am hesitant to compare the effectiveness of democracies by country since each country has its own democratic history however, there is a consensus that National Electoral Commissions play a great role in ensuring strong democracies. In fact, they help people have faith in democracy and in government institutions because free and fair elections guarantee legitimacy of governance. Thus, to ensure the independence, fairness and effectiveness of the Commission, there must be in place different governing legislation, including complementary regulations on accountability, institutional budgets and finances, on electoral offences which might be committed by election observers, direct supervision and auditing of the expenditures made by all political parties among others. 

Suddenly, Uganda does not have an extensive legal framework on the Electoral Commission or elections in general, but I will make inference to its narrow and major three existing legislations that would help us better assess the effectiveness of democratic processes.

The institution of the Commission is established under Article 60 of the Uganda Constitution of 2006 (as amended). The Commission is composed of seven persons who are directly appointed by the president for a period of seven years renewable once. The president further has powers to remove any officer in office on grounds of inability to perform the functions of his or her office, misbehaviour or misconduct and incompetence. The Commission, therefore, is mandated to ensure free and fair elections through organising, conducting, and supervising; to manage or determine the voters’ register; to hear and determine election complaints.  It is interesting to note here that despite the direct power of the president to appoint and remove a commissioner, the commission is presumed to be “independent and shall, in the performance of its functions, not be subject to the direction or control of any person or authority”.

The Electoral Commission Act, Cap 140 elaborates more on the mandate and the independence of the Commission. Section 2 provides its responsibilities related to electoral processes and in its capacity, it holds such a noble position and to determine the country’s future especially in those areas that are born within a democratic framework. However, its independence from the executive is questionable since it does not have a trust fund to independently manage its budget expenditures. Although on rare occasions it may get donations or grants from non-governmental stakeholders, its main budget is funded by the government. 

The Political Parties and Organizations Act, 2005 regulates the financing and functioning of political parties and organisations, their formation, registration, membership, and organisation. However different from other EAC laws, the Commission does not have the direct right to audit and supervise the expenses incurred by the political parties during the electoral process, rather, parties are required to submit a statement (written document) declaring their assets and liabilities annually.  In 2010 this legislation was amended and as such, section 14A gives the right to the government to use public funds and resources towards the activities of political parties or organizations represented in Parliament on an equal basis. Although this section has been functional, it benefits the incumbent parliamentarians hence excluding youths and in particular women from direct participation in politics. This legislation further would be considered as unfair to many Ugandans who could not finance their electoral campaigns.

Therefore, from its legal framework, there is a strong coloration between the structure, independency, and capacity of the Electoral commission in managing and organizing free and fair elections and to mitigate electoral violence in the country. As it has been noted, the Ugandan Commission holds the future of the Country for it is mandated to register voters, issue voter cards, and determine which party should be registered and to declare the final results. Uganda, however, still faces a great challenge in making democracy a reality due to the direct intervention of the executive, and lack of accountability on public finances. In fact, it was reported that just in 2016 presidential and parliamentary elections, Uganda spent 2.4 Trillion UG shillings. Thus in the absence of such formalities, violence is inevitable within the young generation who would wish to see a more inclusive political governance and economy. 

It should be noted however that electoral violence in Uganda is not only attributed to the week and poorly organized Electoral Commission but also the presence of effective and independent institutions like the judiciary as well as the decisions taken by political leaders or the founding fathers of the nation plays a great role to ensure unity in the country hence minimal political violence.

In the lineage of the rule of law, Stephen Holmes notes that the decisions made by Political leaders in most cases determine the destiny of a country. They may choose to be bound by the law, rule by law or choose to change the Constitutions to remain in power. In fact leaders play a great role in ensuring equitable institutions are in place with equal distribution of resources and power. For instance, Nelson Mandera believed in reconciliation as the national tool that would create a stable country. His theory might not have made sense to many South African who had lived in an unjust society for decades but today such a model is appreciated in many African States and abroad. In Tanzania, Julius Nyerere made a strong foundation on the political culture when he introduced the Ujama policy. He aimed at making Tanzanians as one with socialist aspects. Such an inclusive political foundation has held the Tanzanian politics despite its diversity. In Uganda, things went off from the beginning; no leader has been consistent at creating an inclusive and unilateral political system. The majority of the regimes including Yoweri Museveni have been so corrupt and tribalistic in distributing natural resources and civil servant leaderships which has caused political fragmentations leading to electoral violence. 

It should also be noted that, in such a fragmented and vulnerable country like Uganda, the only way that would have helped to bring unity and accountability to public institutions would have been strong institutions such as the judiciary. North Weingast underlines that strong and independent political institutions play a great role for political stability in a country since they serve each one of its citizens including the head of state equally. Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson in “Why Nations Fail” also notes that having inclusive institutions that allows all citizens to be included in decision making processes to attain their objectives contributes much to the Country’s political stability since each citizen feels part of the society. For instance, Kenya demonstrated the power of having an independent judiciary when it delivered a remarkable judgement in John Harun & Others Vs. the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission and 2 Others. The Kenyan Supreme Court gave a precedent when it annulled the results of presidential elections in 2017 and the Electoral Commission was obliged to re-organise another election.

Therefore, as a Ugandan youth, I am hopeful that this regime will have remorse for leaving behind failed public institutions that would have led to a peaceful Uganda. I am also hopeful that sooner we shall the National Electoral Commission restructured to function in a more free and accountable manner. This, among other institutional changes will ensure effective democracy and a peaceful transition of power.

Mary Goretti Byamugisha 

Email: Lumosigorret@lawyer.com

Bobi Wine being unjustly arrested by Police during his campaign trail in Uganda

Presidential elections survey

Last October we started to survey the Ugandan voters through Whatsapp. Since nomination day we have been going back to these voters and ask how they feel now.

We find that the support for Museveni has reduced from 34% in October to 28% in November (after nomination day but before the arrest of Kyagulanyi). The p-value of this research is 0.003, meaning it is scientifically significant. There were 300 respondents.

Where do these voters go to? We see that 2% of them are going to Kyagulanyi, he grows from 61% to 63%. But we also see the other opposition candidates, Muntu, Amuriat & Kabuleta going up.

We also asked some other questions.

  • Do you think the election will be honest?
  • Do you think there’s too much police violence?
  • Do you think the violence affects the votes?
  • Do you think the elections should be suspended?
Honest & peaceful elections (copyright: FreedomUganda.com)

We have also registered the home district of the voters, allowing us to aggregate according to the various regions. We find that Museveni still has the majority in the West, but hardly any support in Central and the East.

Results per Region (copyright: FreedomUganda.com)

Lastly, we looked at the age of the voters. Mainly younger voters (below 35) choose Kyagulanyi.

These surveys that FreedomUganda.com is performing monthly are separate from our human rights activities, but sometimes they coincide. One of our respondents told us he was himself victim of police brutality.

The survey was discussed in our “Democracy in Uganda” program with Nic Cheeseman.

Mbale campaign violence

Bobi Wine’s car after a teargas canister was thrown inside with him and comrades in it.

On Sunday 15th November Bobi Wine, presidential candidate for National Unity Platform, had a teargas canister thrown into his vehicle as he was heading for his campaign venue in Mbale city. This was done at the orders of ASP Asiimwe Abraham.

Asiimwe Abraham who pepper sprayed Bobi Wine in the eyes two months ago.

This happened right after his vehicle was rammed into by Uganda police both in the front and the back injuring a member of his security team. His security swiftly moved him to another car and drove off to the campaign venue.

Canister that was thrown into Bobi Wine’s car.

Uganda police and the army has spent the entire day unleashing unnecessary violence (including live bullets) on his waiting supporters in the city in a similar manner. Bobi Wine managed to get to his campaign venue but it was already too late for him to address the supporters. One man is reported to have lost his life during the violence in Mbale on Sunday 15th.

Bobi Wine helped out of his teargas filled car to another by his security.

Nsibambi campaign attack

On Monday 9 November the attack on the campaign of Yusuf Nsibambi was filmed and shared on Social Media.

Yusuf Nsibambi is a FDC candidate of Wawokota North district.

According to New Vision journalist Simon Ssekidde Police Commander Frank Natamba fired teargas canisters to disperse hundreds of the supporters who were following him. The campaign was accused of not following up on Covid-19 regulations.

This is another example of how Covid-19 regulations are abused by Ugandan government to prevent non-NRM candidates from campaigning.

Another Fine Mess | Helen C Epstein

An LA Times oped summarizing my book Another Fine Mess: America, Uganda and the War on Terror.

Many news outlets, including the NY Times have praised Museveni for accepting large numbers of refugees from South Sudan and Congo etc.  This Project Syndicate piece explains how Museveni’s army worsened the wars that created those refugees in the first place.

This book review touches on the issue of unreliable sources on Uganda.  William Pike, the book’s author helped burnish Museveni’s reputation before his insurgency seized power in 1986, and then ran the New Vision, Uganda’s government newspaper for 20 years.  He now runs the Star newspaper in Kenya and Abdi must know him.  He’s a really nice guy, but not a reliable source on Uganda or Museveni. 

This piece deals with breaking of MP Betty Nambooze’s spine when she tried to filibuster a bill that would allow Museveni to rule for life.

This piece deals with the torture of MP Francis Zaake for  passing out COVID relief food

And these two pieces provide some background on the havoc Museveni has wreaked in the Great Lakes and Horn, and his nevertheless strangely benign reputation….

This piece deals with how the Obama Administration tolerated Museveni’s meddling in South Sudan, and the disastrous consequences thereof… This piece deals with French and and Ugandan designs on Congo’s oil, and the problems with that….