Presidential elections survey

Last October we started to survey the Ugandan voters through Whatsapp. Since nomination day we have been going back to these voters and ask how they feel now.

We find that the support for Museveni has reduced from 34% in October to 28% in November (after nomination day but before the arrest of Kyagulanyi). The p-value of this research is 0.003, meaning it is scientifically significant. There were 300 respondents.

Where do these voters go to? We see that 2% of them are going to Kyagulanyi, he grows from 61% to 63%. But we also see the other opposition candidates, Muntu, Amuriat & Kabuleta going up.

We also asked some other questions.

  • Do you think the election will be honest?
  • Do you think there’s too much police violence?
  • Do you think the violence affects the votes?
  • Do you think the elections should be suspended?
Honest & peaceful elections (copyright: FreedomUganda.com)

We have also registered the home district of the voters, allowing us to aggregate according to the various regions. We find that Museveni still has the majority in the West, but hardly any support in Central and the East.

Results per Region (copyright: FreedomUganda.com)

Lastly, we looked at the age of the voters. Mainly younger voters (below 35) choose Kyagulanyi.

These surveys that FreedomUganda.com is performing monthly are separate from our human rights activities, but sometimes they coincide. One of our respondents told us he was himself victim of police brutality.

The survey was discussed in our “Democracy in Uganda” program with Nic Cheeseman.

Human Right Violation and Abuses: Arrests and Detention by Uganda and Police – Mukono district in Uganda

Reports of kidnaps, arrests, unlawful detentions, tortures, disappears of National Unity Platform (NUP) coordinators or opposition candidates going on in Mukono district, Uganda. These are few of the many cases being published by Freedom Uganda.

Articles 9 of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights:

1. Everyone has the right to liberty and security of person. No one shall be subjected to arbitrary arrest or detention. No one shall be deprived of his liberty except on such grounds and in accordance with such procedure as are established by law.
2. Anyone who is arrested shall be informed, at the time of arrest, of the reasons for his arrest and shall be promptly informed of any charges against him.
3. Anyone arrested or detained on a criminal charge shall be brought promptly before a judge or other officer authorized by law to exercise judicial power and shall be entitled to trial within a reasonable time or to release. It shall not be the general rule that persons awaiting trial shall be detained in custody, but release may be subject to guarantees to appear for trial, at any other stage of the judicial proceedings, and, should occasion arise, for execution of the judgement.
4. Anyone who is deprived of his liberty by arrest or detention shall be entitled to take proceedings before a court, in order that that court may decide without delay on the lawfulness of his detention and order his release if the detention is not lawful.
5. Anyone who has been the victim of unlawful arrest or detention shall have an enforceable right to compensation.

  1. National Unity Platform coordinators from Katoogo Parish, Nama Sub-county in Mukono District detained at Mukono Police Station.

2. Arrested and detained below are Muhammad Kanata, Musa Male and Julius Kiberu. Others from the same area include Isma Ssenkubuge, Sula Kiwanuka, Juma Mukasa, Joseph Kyakuwa, Steven Ntulume, Gaz Kabanda, Ssemipjja, Musa Kajimu and Kharim. All kidnapped by security operatives in Uganda from the villages of Buntaba, Kabembe, Kisowera, Katoogo and Walusubi in Mukono District.

Human Right Violation and Abuses: Arrests and Detention by the Uganda Military and Police

Freedom Uganda reporting some of the many unlawfully arrested and abuse of human rights inflicted by Uganda Police, army and military on the people of Uganda.  On December 30, 2020, many of presidential campaign team for Presidential candidate Robert Sentamu Kyagulanyi aka Bobi Wine were arrested by the Uganda military and are held in various detention centers including military barracks. These are few pictures of the many Ugandans unlawfully arrested, kidnapped, detained, tortured, abused and some killed or their whereabouts unknown.

The right is enshrined in Articles 9 of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights:

1. Everyone has the right to liberty and security of person. No one shall be subjected to arbitrary arrest or detention. No one shall be deprived of his liberty except on such grounds and in accordance with such procedure as are established by law.
2. Anyone who is arrested shall be informed, at the time of arrest, of the reasons for his arrest and shall be promptly informed of any charges against him.
3. Anyone arrested or detained on a criminal charge shall be brought promptly before a judge or other officer authorized by law to exercise judicial power and shall be entitled to trial within a reasonable time or to release. It shall not be the general rule that persons awaiting trial shall be detained in custody, but release may be subject to guarantees to appear for trial, at any other stage of the judicial proceedings, and, should occasion arise, for execution of the judgement.
4. Anyone who is deprived of his liberty by arrest or detention shall be entitled to take proceedings before a court, in order that that court may decide without delay on the lawfulness of his detention and order his release if the detention is not lawful.
5. Anyone who has been the victim of unlawful arrest or detention shall have an enforceable right to compensation.

Member of Parliament aspirant Nyeko Derrick on his campaign trail amidst police brutality and intimidation. 

Yesterday,i conducted door to door meetings with our votes in kibuli and Kabalangala where i joined A NUP candidate Hassan katende contesting for LC3 Councilor Kabalangala Ward B.

It was encouraging to receive a warm reception everywhere we went as we where sharing the message of freedom throughout.

These people sent equivocal message to current leaders ” we supported your rise to power and after you dumped us ,now we want real change” it is encouraging to see people whose mind are made up of change.

Through the course of our meetings ,POLICE confronted us to stop our meetings,We stood strong aganist this act as its constitutional to meet our people ,we continued our meetings in a “Rabadaba style” Nothing can stop us in delivering the message of freedom to our people. A New Uganda awaits.

BRIEF NUP COURT CASES UPDATE 1

The team of 13 comrades in Lira that was arrested in Kole District last month during #Bobi4President’s campaign in the District got cash bail today but towards evening when banks were already closing. Some of them, thus, got out of jail today but the last member of this team will have been released by end of tomorrow.

2. Sserunkuuma Johnbosco & 13 other supporters of NUP who were tried at Makindye Court Martial and remanded to Kitalya Prison 3 weeks ago for putting on #PeoplePower attire were not returned to Court today. Court Martial officials gave no reason for this but simply stated that their Court will neither sit today nor tomorrow. They proceeded to chase of relatives and lawyers who had gone to represent the suspects. NUP lawyers have embarked on the necessary legal steps to arrest this brazen travesty of justice.

3. The 100+ members of our President’s campaign team who were arrested in Kalangala last week have been granted cash bail of UGX 200K each today by Court in Masaka. They were charged with inciting violence; obstruction of Police officers on duty; and committing negligent acts likely to spread an infectious disease (Covid-19), among other charges.

However, 4 of these including Eddie Mutwe, Kafuko Stanley and Kampala Lookman have been further remanded to Prison until 19th January 2021 after they were read an additional 6 charges related to alleged destruction of police property and assault of police officers, among others. Needless to say that all these are politically-motivated charges preferred against our comrades with the aim of criminalising our President’s lawful campaign and intimidating his supporters.

By end of working hours today, NUP had paid bail fees for 50+ of the comrades, and will conclude the bail procedures for the rest of the comrades tomorrow.

NUP intends to obtain Production Warrants for comrades who have been remanded to Prison — including those whose bail applications were rejected — such that they may regain their freedom sooner than 19th.

Human Rights Uganda Case: Masuudi Mawejje

Masuudi Mawejje, a vehicle mechanic and a resident of Masanda, Kyengera (Kampala outskirts) was shot and killed by security operatives on November 18th, 2020. He was shot and killed outside Kabaka’s Muganzirwazza building in Katwe, Uganda. Nasimu Namagembe, the sister says the deceased is survived by four young children including a two year old in need of financial assistance.

Masuudi Mawejje killed by Police outside Kabaka’s Muganzirwazza, Katwe

Human Rights Uganda Case: Sam Kizito, 26

Sam Kizito aka “Khalizima Mateka”, 26, a music artist from Nansana was killed in Jinja, Uganda on December 15th, 2020. The wife, Miriam Namatovu said that the Police denied having a victim shot on that day. However, a mortuary attendant later informed her that the mortuary had the victim who had a gun bullet that exited his chest. The deceased’s sister says that her brother was outside his place of residence twenty minutes after curfew time of 9:00PM (Uganda time) when he got shot. The police spokesman, Abbey Ngako said the case was under investigation search for who shot the deceased and the wife’s  allegation that the victim was in possession of 850,000/-. The deceased leaves behind two young children for which the wife had no means of support and is requesting for justice for her husband.


Photo Credits to NTV: Sam Kizito aka “Khalizima Mateka”, 26 Killed by Police



Photo Credits to NTV: Sam Kizito aka “Khalizima Mateka”, 26 and family